Sad story about the state of part of Mexico

by jay @, Sunday, August 02, 2020, 20:45 (120 days ago) @ nicatnit

It worked against ISIS

But not against Iraq and Afghanistan. Isis was poorly organized and poorly funded and only succeeded, such as it did, because most of Iraq was already devastated and its military was completely ineffective. There's an old adage that an insurgency can only succeed if they have at least the tacit support of 50% of the locals. Isis was so brutal that it likely didn't have a tenth of that, thus making it relatively easy to defeat. So it wasn't necessarily the awesomeness of the US military that won that battle. Any competent military could have accomplished that, though perhaps it would have taken longer.

The bigger problem is that Isis, once a step-child of Al Qaeda, has now melted back into the population, and will probably bide its time until it can reemerge under different leadership and under another name. Thus it ever was and is and shall be in the Middle East. If we continue this game, we'll be playing Whack-a-Mole there for generations. Perhaps better to leave that to the Iraqis.

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