Possibly 130,000 deaths from Covid-19 in Mexico

by hromero ⌂ @, Saturday, September 05, 2020, 14:59 (20 days ago) @ ZihuaRob

You keep referring to trends Rob as if I also haven't been addressing that issue and perhaps that is because you haven't had time to follow the links I have shared. So I am going to attempt this one more time and try to illustrate with graphs from those links.

Here is a graph of the daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 cases in Mexico.
Looks good right. Confirmed cases have started to decline and the trend is downward. This is what the government is using to base its loosening of restrictions. Except there is a problem. For some inexplicable reason the government started reducing the number of tests being done. This despite the fact that the trend had been on a continued upward trajectory.

Meanwhile the excessive number of deaths also shows a continued upward trend.

The number of deaths for August aren't yet available and it will be interesting to see their trend.

Bottom line, I agree with you about the significance of trends. I think what we disagree about is what the trend actually is. Does this answer your questions about the numbers, context and trends? If not, then what am I missing?

Humberto Romero

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