Ah Hell, Oh Well

Haven't been to Zihua in a few years but Otis is not looking good for us. The winds will hit tomorrow in hurricane force as our little Aeromex Embrair would be flying in from Mexico City. I know they'll cancel the flight. So we're cancelling. Sorry town.

Haven't been to Zihua in a few years but Otis is not looking good for us. The winds will hit tomorrow in hurricane force as our little Aeromex Embrair would be flying in from Mexico City. I know they'll cancel the flight. So we're cancelling. Sorry town.

I don't think so. This storm is coming in just north of Acapulco. By 10am ZIH time tomorrow the winds look calm!

The way the forecasts have changed in the last 24 hours, who knows what is actually going to happen? I'd come here! Wait, we ARE here!!

The site I look at suggests that tomorrow Otis will be in Acapulco, not Zihuatanejo.

By the time it gets to our latitude, it is forecast to be well inland and downgraded to a tropical storm.

Then by the time it heads west and gets to Lazaro Cardenas, it will be down to a tropical depression.

I’m not flying into that crap.

What source are you using?

I look a the NOAA Hurricane Center, which is predicting a Category 4 at landfall just south of Zihua, with Tropical Storm force winds arriving about 2am tonight. By 2pm tomorrow, winds could be 74-110 mph. Please do not take this lightly.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep3+shtml/205759.shtml?cone#contents

That said, to the OP... I got a message from the La Ropa neighborhood hotel and restaurant group that Aeromexico is delaying flights for tonight and tomorrow, but not canceling. FWIW.

I’m not flying into that crap.

Smart man. It's not going to be pretty here for the next 3 days or so. I'm telling people not to come. We certainly don't need more victims than there are already going to be. At least one unethical hotel in Ixtapa has been telling people to come. The absolute worst side of capitalism.

Who knows where it will land. Hurricanes can change course pretty quickly.

That said, this is what I read with an October 24, 5:16 p.m. time.

Hurricane Otis strengthened from tropical storm to a major hurricane in a matter of hours Tuesday as it approached Mexico’s southern Pacific coast where it was forecast to make landfall near the resort of Acapulco early Wednesday.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said that Otis was about 115 miles (185 kilometers) south-southeast of Acapulco on Tuesday with Category 3 winds of 125 mph (205 kph). It was moving north-northwest at 8 mph (13 kph). The center said Otis would continue strengthening as it approached the coast.

https://www.news10.com/news/ap-tropical-storm-otis-forecast-to-strengthen-to-hurricane-before-landfall-near-mexicos-acapulco/

Of course, that might change an hour from now. The NY Times website puts landfall closer to Zihuatanejo.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/otis-map-path-tracker.html

I was here at the time of Hurricane Pauline that killed hundreds and Hurricane Rick that landed just north of Troncones. I would rather not do that again, but all I can do is prepare and hope for the best.

Thanks... yeah, that site is already updated with Cat 4 info and such.

Good luck and stay safe!

What source are you using?

I look a the NOAA Hurricane Center, which is predicting a Category 4 at landfall just south of Zihua, with Tropical Storm force winds arriving about 2am tonight. By 2pm tomorrow, winds could be 74-110 mph. Please do not take this lightly.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep3+shtml/205759.shtml?cone#contents

That said, to the OP... I got a message from the La Ropa neighborhood hotel and restaurant group that Aeromexico is delaying flights for tonight and tomorrow, but not canceling. FWIW.

https://www.windy.com/?16.615,-100.756,8

Friends are reporting heavy rain currently in Acapulco and there appears more mosquitos out tonight here in Zihua.

“OTIS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... ...NOW EXPECTED TO BE NEAR CATEGORY 5 INTENSITY AT LANDFALL...”

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Otis

Could you relay that message to my Mom?

Well looks like it did go South. It we have a blizzard here in Montana! And we’ve been stuck in MX City too many times.